July 24, 2012
Today the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, shocked King World News with this remarkable and extremely dire prediction: “The primary bear market — the leveraging and inflation and lying and cheating and shenanigans lasted from 1945 to 2007, about 62 years. My guess is that it will require maybe one-third of that time or roughly 20 years to clean out the economic stupidity and nonsense of those 62 years. That could take this bear market out to the year 2027.”
Richard Russell continues:
“Twenty years would be a long time for a bear market, even a secular bear market. Therefore, you should know that I do not expect the market to head straight down for 20 long years. Actually, in the coming 20 years I expect to see a number of short cyclical bull and bear markets (much like the 1956 to 1974 period), and I expect to see many periods of boring trading ranges — all occurring within the overall pattern of a secular bear market.
But keep in mind that the broad sweep of the market will be down and down, although there will be many confusing periods in which analysts will argue as to the direction of the primary trend. During the period of the bear market, I will do my best to describe to my subscribers where we are, what’s happening, and what to expect in the period ahead.